Name: 39% of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change (May-Jun 2026)
Creator: McKinsey & Company
License: All rights reserved; quote briefly with credit

In plain words

What this number really says

39% of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change (May-Jun 2026).

39%

the latest figure (May-Jun 2026)

Survey

type of source

Why you can trust it. McKinsey & Company, The State of AI (McKinsey Global Survey): survey, sampled survey with a published method. 1,719 online respondents in 97 nations, 4 May to 8 Jun 2026; 36% at organizations with more than $1 billion revenue.

Key facts

Period May-Jun 2026
Region Global
Company size All sizes
Next data Yearly

Source: McKinsey & Company, The State of AI (McKinsey Global Survey), May-Jun 2026

Method and use

How it was measured, and how to use it

How it was measured

Publisher: McKinsey & Company, The State of AI (McKinsey Global Survey)
Source type: Survey: Sampled survey with a published method
What it measures: 39% of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change
Data period: May-Jun 2026 (ends 8 Jun 2026)
Published by the source: 25 Aug 2026
Who is counted: 1,719 online respondents in 97 nations, 4 May to 8 Jun 2026; 36% at organizations with more than $1 billion revenue.
In the source's words: In this year's survey, 39 percent of respondents expect AI to decrease their organizations' overall head count over the next year, while a similar share (43 percent) expects little or no change
Checked at source: 23 Oct 2026: Read on mckinsey.com ("The state of AI in 2026: On the road to ROI", 25 Aug 2026) on 2026-10-23. A year earlier 32% expected declines; only 14% of AI users reported an actual AI-related decline.
Reuse: All rights reserved; quote briefly with credit. Online survey of respondents worldwide, weighted by nation GDP contribution; not a random sample of firms.
Next expected update: Yearly (McKinsey & Company, yearly)
Original page: www.mckinsey.com: The State of AI (McKinsey Global Survey)
Data files: CSV · JSON (stable links)

Full change log

No changes recorded yet. First checked at the source on 23 Oct 2026.

Cite this number

APA

McKinsey & Company. (2026). 39% of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change. Via digitaltreed, https://digitaltreed.com/statistics/ai/mckinsey-expect-ai-headcount-decrease

MLA

"39% of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change." McKinsey & Company, The State of AI (McKinsey Global Survey), May-Jun 2026. digitaltreed, https://digitaltreed.com/statistics/ai/mckinsey-expect-ai-headcount-decrease.

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<a href="https://digitaltreed.com/statistics/ai/mckinsey-expect-ai-headcount-decrease">39% of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change</a> (McKinsey & Company, May-Jun 2026)

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FAQ

Questions about this number

What is the latest figure for jobs (Global)?

39% of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change, for May-Jun 2026, according to McKinsey & Company, The State of AI (McKinsey Global Survey). We checked it at the source on 23 Oct 2026.

62%

average wage premium in job ads that ask for AI skills, up from 57% a year earlier (PwC, more than one billion job ads)

Sample: More than one billion job advertisements in 27 countries and territories.

PwC, PwC research (Global AI Jobs Barometer, AI agent survey), 2025

Official dataAll sizesUSA

95.7%

of US firms that used AI said it did not change their total employment in the last six months; 2.3% grew and 2.0% shrank

Sample: BTOS AI supplement: six biweekly panels pooled, 17 Nov 2025 to 8 Feb 2026; base is firms that used AI in at least one business function.

US Census Bureau, Business Trends and Outlook Survey, Nov 2025-Feb 2026

Official dataAll sizesUSA

43.7%

of US firms that used AI used it to supplement or enhance a task done by an employee; 10.1% used it to do a task an employee used to do

Sample: BTOS AI supplement: six biweekly panels pooled, 17 Nov 2025 to 8 Feb 2026; base is firms that used AI in at least one business function.

US Census Bureau, Business Trends and Outlook Survey, Nov 2025-Feb 2026

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39%of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change

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39%About 2 in 5of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change

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39%of McKinsey survey respondents expect AI to decrease their organization's headcount over the next year; 43% expect little or no change