Official dataAll sizesUSA
440,900
HVAC mechanic and installer jobs in the US in 2025
Sample: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2025-35 edition (last modified 27 Aug 2026)
Official dataUpdated 23 Oct 2026
11%projected growth in US HVAC technician jobs from 2025 to 2035, almost four times the 3% for all occupations
US jobs for HVAC technicians are projected to grow 11% from 2025 to 2035, from 440,900 to 489,100, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That is faster than electricians (9%), plumbers (7%) and all occupations (3%). BLS expects about 40,600 HVAC openings a year, mostly to replace workers who retire or change jobs.
Official dataChecked at source, 23 Oct 2026All sizesUSAHome services marketing · Skilled trades
Projected US job growth, 2025 to 2035, by home trade
| Group | Projected growth |
|---|---|
| HVAC technicians | 11% |
| Electricians | 9% |
| Plumbers | 7% |
| All occupations | 3% |
In plain words
What this number really says
The US will need more HVAC technicians over the next ten years, and the trades already struggle to hire.
11%
projected growth in HVAC jobs, 2025 to 2035
40,600
HVAC job openings expected each year
3%
projected growth for all US occupations
Why you can trust it. Official projection from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, updated 27 August 2026.
Key terms
- HVAC Heating, ventilation, air conditioning and refrigeration.
- Projected growth The change in the number of jobs BLS expects over ten years.
- Openings Jobs to fill each year from growth plus workers who retire or change careers.
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2025-2035 projection
Before and now
How we got here
2025
440,900HVAC mechanic and installer jobs in the US.
2035
489,100HVAC jobs projected by BLS.
Compare
How 11% compares
This number
11%
USA 2025-2035 projection
LatestHVAC
11%
projected job growth 2025-35
+8 pts vs all jobsElectricians
9%
projected job growth 2025-35
+6 pts vs all jobsPlumbers
7%
projected job growth 2025-35
+4 pts vs all jobsAll occupations
3%
projected job growth 2025-35
baselineWho it is for
Who should use this number, and how
HVAC, plumbing and electrical owners
Hiring will stay competitive.
Plan recruiting and pay with the BLS numbers in hand.
Home services marketers
Recruiting is marketing too.
Use job pages and local search to reach technicians as well as customers.
Who it affects
Who feels this number
The same 11% means something different for each group.
Contractors
37%HiringIn ServiceTitan's 2026 survey, difficulty hiring is the top reason contractors give for trying AI.
Homeowners
Our readingWait timesOur reading: when technicians are scarce, response time becomes a selling point.
Gains and risks
What firms gain, and what can go wrong
Numbers from studies and surveys, each with its source.
Gains
- $61,010
median annual pay for HVAC technicians in May 2025BLS OOH, HVAC page
Risks
- 40,600
openings a year, many to replace workers who retire or leave the tradeBLS OOH, HVAC Job Outlook tab
Where it shows
Where this number has an impact
Homeowners
Our reading: more demand for HVAC work with a tight labour supply can mean longer waits in peak season.
Contractors
Difficulty hiring is the top reason contractors cite for experimenting with AI (37%, ServiceTitan, Sep 2026).
The future
What this number says about what comes next
Forecasts below are made by others and linked to where they were published. Our own reading of the data is marked as ours.
Our reading, not a forecast
What the data suggests
- Our reading. HVAC grows fastest of the three big home trades, so HVAC firms face the strongest hiring pressure.
Where it already is: the benchmarks
HVAC
11%
Electricians
9%
Plumbers
7%
All occupations
3%
What to watch next
- The next BLS Employment Projections release
- Monthly BLS payroll data for plumbing, heating and air-conditioning contractors
The data
All the numbers in one table
As published by US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2025-2035 projection. Standard errors are shown where the source gives them.
| Occupation | Jobs 2025 | Projected growth 2025-35 | Openings per year | Median pay May 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVAC mechanics and installers | 440,900 | 11% | 40,600 | $61,010 |
| Electricians | 821,000 | 9% | 72,700 | $63,190 |
| Plumbers, pipefitters and steamfitters | 510,600 | 7% | 42,000 | $63,800 |
| All occupations | n/a | 3% | n/a | n/a |
Method and use
How it was measured, and how to use it
How it was measured
- Publisher
- US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook
- Source type
- Official data: Government statistics office or regulator
- What it measures
- 11% projected growth in US HVAC technician jobs from 2025 to 2035, almost four times the 3% for all occupations
- Data period
- 2025-2035 projection (ends 31 Dec 2035)
- Published by the source
- 27 Aug 2026
- Who is counted
- BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2025-35 edition (last modified 27 Aug 2026)
- In the source's words
Employment of heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers is projected to grow 11 percent from 2025 to 2035
- Checked at source
- 23 Oct 2026: Read on bls.gov OOH HVAC page, summary and Job Outlook tab (440,900 jobs in 2025, 489,100 projected for 2035; 'Total, all occupations' 3%). BLS projection, not a measured value.
- Reuse
- Public domain (US government work). Free to quote; cite BLS and the data year.
- Next expected update
- 31 Aug 2027 (US Bureau of Labor Statistics, annual (wages each spring, projections each autumn))
- Original page
- www.bls.gov: Occupational Outlook Handbook
- Data files
- CSV · JSON (stable links)
Full change log
- 23 Oct 2026CorrectionWording corrected to match the source: hiring difficulty was the most common reason, not the top reason, for trying AI
Cite this number
APA
US Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2026). 11% projected growth in US HVAC technician jobs from 2025 to 2035, almost four times the 3% for all occupations. Via digitaltreed, https://digitaltreed.com/statistics/home-services-marketing/hvac-job-growth-2025-2035
MLA
"11% projected growth in US HVAC technician jobs from 2025 to 2035, almost four times the 3% for all occupations." US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2025-2035 projection. digitaltreed, https://digitaltreed.com/statistics/home-services-marketing/hvac-job-growth-2025-2035.
HTML link
<a href="https://digitaltreed.com/statistics/home-services-marketing/hvac-job-growth-2025-2035">11% projected growth in US HVAC technician jobs from 2025 to 2035, almost four times the 3% for all occupations</a> (US Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025-2035 projection)
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FAQ
Questions about this number
Is HVAC a growing field?
Yes. BLS projects HVAC technician jobs to grow 11% from 2025 to 2035, against 3% for all occupations.
How many HVAC technicians are in the US?
About 440,900 HVAC mechanic and installer jobs in 2025, per BLS.
How much do HVAC technicians make?
The median annual wage was $61,010 in May 2025 (BLS).
Is there a shortage of skilled trades workers?
BLS expects about 40,600 HVAC, 42,000 plumber and 72,700 electrician openings each year, and in a 2026 ServiceTitan survey, hiring difficulty was the most common reason contractors gave for trying AI (37%).
Which home trade is growing fastest?
HVAC at 11%, then electricians at 9% and plumbers at 7% (BLS projections, 2025 to 2035).
Put this number to work
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Every number on this page was checked at its original source. Free to cite with a link to this page.